Born (or not) under weak statehood: fertility and institutional shocks in Mexico

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dc.contributor.MentorMurphy, Tomás
dc.creator.AutorRuiz, María Florencia
dc.date.accessioned2026-04-16T19:07:14Z
dc.date.available2026-04-16T19:07:14Z
dc.date.issued2026-03
dc.descriptionFil: Ruiz, María Florencia. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina.
dc.description.abstractThis paper examines how state-led institutional shocks in low-capacity settings can shape demographic behavior. I analyze two Mexican case studies in which the state sought to consolidate control and reassert authority: the 1992 ejido land-titling reform and President Calderón’s militarized anti-narcotics campaign. I use a difference-in-differences design for the former and a close-elections regression discontinuity for the latter, where narrow PAN victories proxy intensified anti-drug enforcement, to estimate causal effects on conception rates. Conception rates fall significantly in response to both shocks—roughly 1–2% for land titling and about 10% following narrow PAN wins—underscoring that institutional change can influence demographic behavior.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.udesa.edu.ar/handle/10908/26386
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherUniversidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rightshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.titleBorn (or not) under weak statehood: fertility and institutional shocks in Mexico
dc.typeTesis
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
dc.typeinfo:ar-repo/semantics/tesis de maestría
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/updatedVersion
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