The impact of non-automatic licenses over imports and supplier basket of importing firms evidence from Argentina in the last decade
Date
2025-09
Authors
Ambrosano Bertol, Carla Sofía
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Park, Leonardo Fernando
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía
Abstract
This thesis examines how Argentina’s non-automatic import licenses (NAILs) affect import levels and the composition of suppliers. Using a monthly 8-digit product panel (2012–2024) merged with NAILs regulations, I estimate fixed-effects models with macro controls. NAILs are associated with sizable import contractions, higher concentration of sourcing across countries, heterogeneous effects across origin groups in stacked specifications (with sharper relative contractions for the U.S. and BTA partners, and an attenuation for China), and a decline in the ratio of high-income to low-income origin shares. Results are robust across specifications and consistent with NAILs raising per-supplier fixed costs.
Description
Fil: Ambrosano Bertol, Carla Sofía. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina.